A new polls issued by Global Info Analytics has predicted that Former President John Mahama will beat Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia in the 2024 presidential elections .
The survey with an example size of 5,232 revealed 53 percent of the respondents endorse John Mahama’s comeback while just 30% inclined towards Vice President Dr. Bawumia, in the event that he wins the New Patriotic Party flagbearership race for the general election.
A comparative study delivered by the organization in January showed both the Vice President and the former President gain 38 and 43 percent respectively.
This implies that three months down the line, John Mahama’s endorsement rating has shot up by 10% while the Vice President’s has plunged by 8%.
The survey comes when the Economic Intelligence Unit (EIU) has predicted triumph for the opposition National Democratic Congress (NDC) in the 2024 elections .
It , however, recommended that the NDC chooses a new flagbearer other than John Mahama to further lift its possibilities of winning the elections .
“The next parliamentary and presidential elections are expected in 2024. Under constitutional mandated term time limits , incumbent President Akufo-Addo, can’t run for a third term.
“The former president, John Mahama, is allegedly considering running once more, yet we anticipate that the opposition NDC should attempt to rejuvenate its possibilities with a new presidential candidate.
“Our EIU benchmark gauge is that continuous public disappointment with the slow pace of improvement in governance — like infrastructure improvement development ,Job creation and fighting corruption — will set off anti-incumbency factors of incumbency factors and push the electorate to look for a change,” the report stressed.
The study again tipped Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia to emerge victoriousl in the NPP primaries in spite of the fact that Alan Kyerematen will pose a threat to his bid to become the next flag-bearer of NPP.
John Mahama further stayed the most favored possibility to be decided in favor of in the NDC primaries ahead of the likes of Dr. Kwabena Duffuor.
About the report’s Sampling Method
34 constituencies that were recently chosen under convenient samples were rehashed for reasons of laying out the polling pattern.
With 34 extra constituency chose utilizing random sampling . The past constituencies chosen in January were barred preceding running the random reenactment model to choose the constituencies . Consequently, providing the remaining 241 voting public with an equivalent opportunity of select.
The 2020 Electoral Commissions voters ‘ register was utilized as a testing outline to distribute sample size to every constituency .
Allocation of sample depended on the total registered voters in the constituency comparative with the 68 constituencies selected .
For every constituency chosen, the area for the interview was likewise chosen randomly from three Electoral Areas of the constituency .
Peruse beneath the full survey by Global Info Analytics
https://drive.google.com/record/d/1EKG2KE-2fWJ1iuoCdmgLl-jIFd-jGsMv/view